Showing posts with label World Cup. Show all posts
Showing posts with label World Cup. Show all posts

Friday, July 13, 2018

The U.S. men's team can win a World Cup if we commit to being unfair

Image result for kylian mbappe
I will be rooting for this guy.
Unless you've been purposefully ignoring it, you know France will play Croatia in Sunday's World Cup Final. Both teams are loaded with players who play for the top European clubs. While you could reasonably assume a historic power like France fields a roster that looks like Champions League team, it's worth checking out the number of Croatian players who ply their trades for top teams like AC Milan, Liverpool, Inter Milan, Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Juventus. 


Croatia's roster. These guys are good.

Because everything should always and everywhere be about what this means for American, consider that the success of the Croatian team gives hope for the U.S. men's team (USMNT). (The U.S. women's team, you should remember, are already world-beaters.) The reason for optimism is this: Croatia is nation of 4.2 million people. The United States has 14 metropolitan areas with more people.


14 places in the U.S. with more people than Croatia
Even though the USMNT failed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup, the U.S. Soccer Federation (USSF) has improved in producing world-class players. (If you aren't yet familiar with Christian Pulisic, you soon will be.) While soccer-playing culture in the U.S. is unlikely to become as big a deal as it is in most European, African, and South American countries, it doesn't have to be. The United States is big and diverse enough that we can produce plenty of world-class players in multiple sports. Think of the Olympics -- Americans dominate in a bunch of sports that the general public cares about only every four years. 


Image result for olympic swimming
American follow sports like this only every four years,
yet we produce plenty of dominant athletes.


USSF needs to improve, though. For years, the U.S. has had the largest number of youth soccer registrants (about 4 million) in the world, yet places with far less money and training resources (like Croatia, Rio de Janiero, or the Paris suburbs) produce better players. This happens for several reasons, but the chief one is obvious and overlooked: The American attitude towards youth sports, soccer in particular, is messed up. 

Here's why:
  • Teams in the U.S. prioritized playing a bunch of games instead of practicing. 
  • American coaches were woefully under-trained in technical soccer skills. 
  • A result of the first two means that most American players spend far less time with on-ball training and don't develop the otherworldly dribbling and passing skills that top European leagues require.
  • Playing on traveling teams is expensive. Many talented players are excluded because their families can't afford the five-figure expenses and/or the amount of time required from parents.
Image result for ussf soccer coaches training
Creating more Christian Pulisics will involve a lot of this

To its credit, the USSF has taken steps towards a better system:

When U.S. Soccer first reached out to Lemov, in 2010, the organization was already in the midst of a wholesale reformation. Four years earlier, soccer executives had toured the world, studying what other countries did differently. They had learned, among other things, that kids in other nations spent less time playing soccer games than did their American counterparts, and more time practicing. In response, the federation created its own youth league, called the U.S. Soccer Development Academy, modeled after international best practices. Top youth-soccer clubs could apply to join, if their coaches agreed to get licensed and follow a new model for training. The academy now comprises 152 soccer clubs across the U.S., which have produced more than 180 professional players.
They are also taking concrete steps in ensuring better coaching, hiring pedagogical expert (and folk hero in the part of teaching world I live in) Doug Lemov to instruct the instructors.
“For 20 years, we had focused almost exclusively on closing our global gap in the technical and tactical components of the game,” says Dave Chesler, U.S. Soccer’s director of coaching development. “In doing this, perhaps we had lost perspective on the quality of our delivery—a k a the essential mechanics of teaching. ” Chesler, who had himself spent 15 years as a high-school chemistry and physics teacher before becoming a full-time soccer coach, realized after reading about Lemov in The Times Magazine that he had never transferred some of his own best teaching techniques to the field. He made immediate modifications to his coaching—for example, slowing down practices and focusing more on watching the players, making sure each one demonstrated every step in a drill before moving on—and he sent copies of Lemov’s book to his national staff. And then he asked Lemov for help.
The USSF is rich enough that this will gradually produce more elite players. However, the men's World Cup will be in North America in eight years. Accompanying the prep for the tournament will be both avalanche of money and also pressure to field a top American team. 
Image result for apollo project
Like this, but for soccer players

So I have a radical idea: start an Apollo-like project to concentrate coaching resources in two metro areas that are already teeming with talent -- say, Los Angeles and Houston. Both are substantially larger than Croatia. Both are already soccer-crazy, have a ton of local money, and field multiple professional teams. Build something similar to La Masia, FC Barcelona's famous training academy in each metro area. (Barca is already beating us to this punch - it has its own residential academy in Arizona.) Roger Bennett of Men in Blazers recently made the case that Mexican pro teams have a better understanding of talent in those heavily Latino cities than the American teams.

Elite teams win in part because their entire system has consistent training methods and style. American teams have historically relied on grit and athleticism. That doesn't get it done at the highest levels.

It shouldn't be a matter of cash. The USSF had $152 million in revenues for 2017. Fox Sports is paying between $400 to 600 million per World Cup for U.S. broadcast rights through 2026. God only knows how much companies like Nike, Adidas, and New Balance would make if there were several more American stars. It wouldn't even need to be Messi or Ronaldo-level superstar; an American Kylian Mbappe or Luka Modric would be a worth small country's GDP on its own. For a relatively small sum and considering what's at stake, a lot of groups could reap massive rewards if a world-class USMNT is driving audience attention.

Sure, some will complain about the unfair distribution of resources. But a moonshot project that develops a top-tier USMNT would lift the American soccer structure as whole. Think of what the 1999 women's World Cup championship team inspired. Some of those later played for 2015 champions. 

With all of the challenges facing our nation, this is one we could actually come together and solve.

Thursday, June 28, 2018

Mea culpa, part 1 of infinity (World Cup edition)


This World Cup has been crazy and unpredictable in the fantastic way the best sporting events are. That said, I should take accountability for a few things I've gotten wrong.


* Congratulations to Argentina for making it to knockout rounds. I had written you off after Croatia destroyed you. Turns out Croatia might be that good and Argentina might succeed in spite of epic corruption and mismanagement. Lionel Messi came up with a goal that even video games would reject as not humanly possible. He did this with only the hopes and dreams of 40 million people resting on his shoulders.






* I, along with pretty much everyone else, thought Germany would find a way to make it out of their group. I, along with pretty much everyone else, was wrong. This does provide another handy excuse to peruse the German tabloid reaction:


Translation: Out! But we did not deserve that anyway.
I would pay a hefty subscription fee to read German tabloids covering SEC football.

* I should've listened to my brother-in-law, a diehard Sweden fan. They are legitimate contenders. First, they prevented Italy from even qualifying for the World Cup. 

(Let's take this opportunity to revisit the Italian tabloid reaction It's hard to see in this picture, but one sub-headline reads: “Italy, this is the apocalypse.” If the German tabloid sports media is unwilling to move to Birmingham, I would happily accept the Italians instead.)

Translation: Everybody at home!, Finished, Everybody out!
Then Sweden recovered from having their hearts ripped out by Toni Kroos in their match with German. The ending was so brutal that their coaches nearly fought after the game:

Image result for sweden and german coaches fight world cup

Nevertheless, Sweden recovered and schooled Mexico, scoring three goals in the second half. If you're a soccer neophyte, this was similar to those NBA finals games where Steph Curry or Kevin Durant would get tired of messing around and hit 5 three-pointers in a quarter or drop 43 points, respectively. 

This World Cup is up for grabs. Sweden has as good a chance as anyone. The knockout rounds should be thrilling.

Friday, June 22, 2018

World Cup update: What is Ronaldo hiding?

Here's an update on how the world's biggest sporting event is progressing. I'm watching while the rest of you suckers are working. (Well, most of you.) 




Argentina

Image result for argentina meme
Translation: Leave it. It is dead. 

On the bright side, Argentine men can devote more time to following their football association's instructions on how to seduce Russian women.


And, sure, thanks to Nigeria beating Iceland, Argentina is technically not yet eliminated. However, they've been the worst team in their group. Nigeria has a real shot at beating them. 

Croatia


They're now a "must watch" team. Luka Modric's strike against Argentine is the soccer equivalent of when LeBron decides to hell with it and just stampedes to the basket.




Mexico

The celebrations when Hirving Lozano scored the winner against Germany literally caused a false earthquake.



It's only one game (against the defending world champions), but El Tri looks as competitive as any of the top teams. By virtue of beating Germany, they are likely to avoid Brazil in at least the first knockout round.

Germany

Reading German tabloids after a soul-crushing defeat really gets to essence of "schadenfreude." Thanks to Google, you can get a translation, but it's more fun to infer from the original German.

Bild.


Translation: 

“In the past months there has been a lot of talk about boycotting the World Cup for political reasons”, wrote commentator Matthias Brügelmann in tabloid Bild. “But I did not expect that Jogi’s boys would turn that into practice on the pitch in their opener, of all matches.”
Ouch.

Brazil
They'll move on to the knockout rounds easily enough, but Neymar remains as hard to root for as ever:

Image result for neymar flopping costa rica

He was initially awarded a penalty kick for this play, but the referee reversed himself after video review showed that Neymar was essentially practicing a trust fall.

Portugal
Cristiano Ronaldo has scored all of Portugal's goals so far and is the favorite to win the Golden Boot (given to the player who scores the most goals in the tournament). He remains the most polarizing player in the world -- as talented and vain as ever. Tom Brady wishes he was as hate-watchable as this guy.

But can we talk about his stubborn insistence on wearing long sleeves? The other day, Portugal was playing in 90-degree heat and Nashville-esque humidity and he was the only player on the field in long sleeves. 

Image result for ronaldo world cup 2018

What sort of scandalous tattoos is he hiding?

France
They're cruising along, but haven't yet put it all together. Paul Pogba has been putting on a clinic, just in case you are curious as to what sort of havoc can be wreaked by a world-class midfielder.



Kylian Mbappe has scored one relatively easy goal and had a couple of other tantalizing chances. Hopefully we'll get to see Les Bleus drop the hammer on some poor team soon. If the soccer gods are smiling, as a bonus, we'll get to the see that thing where Mbappe just toys with a defense.



Spain
Like France, they're doing OK, but haven't yet played to their talent level. Spain versus Portugal was, by far, the most entertaining game so far. 


They remain appointment viewing and not just to see if Sergio Ramos causes an international incident during a game.